Rodriguezs arm is comfortably plus. Both feel like high-floored backend or long relief types who need to walk an atypical path to an impact role. Those risks apply here. Cederlind, 27, spent 2022 recovering from Tommy John, and he had renewed soreness during his rehab, which is part of why he missed the whole year. Jackson Glenn, 2B. The husky Nunez swings really hard and generates big peak exit velocities. Vilade spent some time near the top of the Rockies list due to his feel for contact. His feel for throwing strikes would come and go, and hes only 6-feet-1, a little smaller than the prep pitching prototypes who you often see getting $2 million or more in the draft. The 2021 edition of this list featured some carping about Eric Longenhagen ranking Gabriel Moreno in the 100, because he was the exact kind of player who might not have been highly regarded in earlier eras of public prospect evaluation but who had all the markers of future success. Gonzales had a 68% Z-contact% as a 23-year-old at Double-A. Not exactly on topic, but Id love to get some thoughts on the recently graduated Jack Suwinski. LSU played . His 2022 was not as remarkable from a walk and strikeout standpoint but it was still good, as he hit .270/.376/.418 with 38 extra-base hits (pretty good for the Florida State League) and 33 steals at Low-A Bradenton. Ortiz rocketed through the system in 2022, skipping High-A and spending most of the season with Double-A Altoona before making his big league debut across four starts in September and October. He barely played in 2022 due to hamstring, elbow, and hip flexor injuries that cost him all but a couple of games. Top 51 Prospects: Pittsburgh Pirates by Eric Longenhagen February 24, 2021 Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Pittsburgh Pirates. RotoWire News: Gonzales will join the Pirates' major-league camp this spring. He moved into a minor league relief role in 2022. Be warned that he may hit for huge power at Greensboro in 2023, but the key thing to watch is his strikeout rate. He has the stuff to continue developing as a starter just in case things click, but the bullpen is Jimenezs more likely future destination. The Pirates are going to develop him at many different positions with the hope that he can provide a late-game upgrade at a couple different spots (hes already very good at third base), serve as righty power off the bench, and work in middle relief. Sammy Siani, LF. Throw in the visual twitch and athleticism, and this is the player Spotifys algorithm would recommend to FanGraphs if prospects were musical artists. Overall, the Pirates adding six prospects to their top 50 list is pretty impressive. He mixed in four pitches, with his four-seamer and slider accounting for 88% of his pitches, and the changeup and two-seamer bringing up the rear. Pittsburgh graduated two top-50 prospects in 2022 (Oneil Cruz and Roansy Contreras) and still has a top-five system, or close to it, because of the three potential stars atop the group and the many upper-level, core role-playing hitters who should arrive in the big leagues soon. Samaniego looks like a typical second lefty out of a bullpen, sitting 92-94 mph with a deceptive, whippy arm action, and locating his fastball with precision on the arm-side part of the plate. He walked more than a batter per inning in 2022. His arm action looks longer and looser than it was in his injury-shortened 2021, and his upper body appears more closed, which might be helping him hide the ball longer than before. That makes it seem all but inevitable that Chandler will eventually ditch the bat to optimize his development on the mound. His on-mound athleticism enables plus long-term command projection, though for right now Harrington really only locates his fastball to his arm side. Its not a great look to lose half a minor league rosters worth of players in the Rule 5, but that whole group might produce one or two big league role players, which is a small price to pay if theyre byprospects of a bigger group from which the Pirates can pick and choose before exposing the rest to that arcane process. If his defense continues to look like it did in the 2022-23 Dominican Winter League during 2023 spring training, he may quickly be repositioned on this list. The average draft position (ADP) included is from Draft Champions leagues from January 19 to February 19 at the NFBC, which you can find here.These leagues draft 50 players and that's all they get for the year no pickups or drops. It felt like the Pirates were slow-playing him a little too much after the pandemic (Nolasco was easily physical enough to go to Low-A in 2021), but perhaps they simply knew he wasnt ready to parse full-season pitching. Now 24 and neither protected from nor claimed during the 2022 Rule 5 draft, its imperative for him to start throwing strikes more consistently in order to find his way to a big league bullpen. Theyve tripled since his claim-staking 2019 DSL season and Nolsaco Kd at a whopping 34% rate in the 2022 Florida State League. Priesters four-seamer is divisive. Thomas 2022 was a tale of two seasons. Every once in a while he will show you the power, and hes very good at hitting pitches out away from him to the opposite field with authority, but you can get him out if you can execute location against Gonzales, and big league pitchers often do. Pittsburgh to add him to their 40-man roster after the season, indicating that hell be a big league relief option in 2023. He missed basically all of September and was shelled in the only start he made coming off the IL. He threw it 16% of the time (up from 9% the previous season) and induced a 53% whiff rate with this power-action, mid-80s change. The type of contact he makes is unlikely to ever lead to home run power commensurate with a true everyday player, but Bae makes enough stinging, all-fields contact that he projects to hit plenty of doubles and triples. His curveball was his only secondary to induce an above-average chase rate. The 11-15 group consists of Jared Jones, Ji-hwan Bae, Anthony Solometo, Kyle Nicolas and Jared Triolo. Not Quite Enough Hit Tool But the improvement on his slider means he could solidify a role as a middle reliever, especially if the converted infielder is able to re-establish the fastball velos he flirted with a few years ago. Joness velocity and breaking ball quality (a power, mid-80s slider with vertical action) give him the floor of a really good reliever, especially if he can somehow throw harder an inning at a time. As you can probably imagine of a Division-I football commit, White is already very physical, buff to the point where he looked a little bit stiff during his pre-draft summer. ago Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as our own observations. The top 38 spots on the list are all 55 FV or higher. His quality of contact is very good when he does make it, and is already on par with the typical starting major league second baseman even though hes barely 22. Milwaukee Brewers Batting Postseason Stats 2021. 2 prospect to Minors camp after injury February 24, 2023 Bucs invite top prospects Davis, Johnson, Priester to camp February 2, 2023 Shim realizes first part of dream as prospect signs with Bucs January 26, 2023 Here are the Pirates' 2023 Top 30 prospects March 1, 2023 Pirates' Chandler going all in on pitching February 28, 2023 Pirates return No. Moreover, he has one of the more unusual profiles in professional baseball. Garcia is only 19 but is already sitting 96. He seems able to make some mid at-bat adjustments to this type of pitch but then ends up playing a guessing game with breaking balls. Head, who was part of the Joe Musgrove trade, has Kd at a 33% clip in A-ball and might also be in the midst of a swing change that gets rid of his arm bar. His delivery has a relief-only look to it. Kennedys delivery is simple, compact, repeatable, and easy-looking, and you can project heavily on his changeup because of this, though right now he often gets underneath it and it tends to cut on him. Some of his early-career success seems to have stemmed from his physical maturity. 4/5 on a contender. Johnson was a well-regarded prospect basically as soon as he reached high school, and there were scouts who were so excited when they first watched him hit that they considered him a future top 5-10 pick when he was only a freshman. His changeup is deceptive against batters in both boxes, but in particular against righties, who have a 40% chase rate on the offering. There isnt suddenly big power here or anything like that, but its the start of a physical step that was likely necessary for Cheng to take to play major league ball. All of the ranked prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. Uribe, 20, is a projectable lefty with a 92-93 mph fastball and high-spin breaking ball. A proactive bullpen move could put him in position to debut in 2024. When an opposing pitcher releases the ball, the scoop in Johnsons bat head is pointing at the mound with his back elbow hiked way up above his shoulder in a position that seems to defy the rules of normal human physiology. Might the changeup develop over time into a plus pitch? Neil Walker / 2B 5. Instead, Triolo looks like hell be a superutility guy. Jones spent 2022, his second full pro season, at High-A Greensboro, where he sat 94-98 mph across 122.2 innings and posted a 26.7% K% and 9.6% BB%. John started working at Pirates Prospects in 2009, but his connection to the Pittsburgh Pirates started exactly 100 years earlier when Dots Miller debuted for the 1909 World Series champions. He could get a cup of coffee in 2023. Selbys fastball sits 96-98 mph and he looks to blow it past hitters up in the zone. He spent two years at a JUCO before heading to South Alabama in 2020, and he only pitched 21 total innings for the Jaguars due to the timing of his transfer. Here's a link to the Top 25.. Link to the Top 50.. Link to the Top 75.. He appears tentative on routine throws and still isnt a sure-handed defender. While prospect list ultimately isn't what makes a player great, it is . All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Still, his strikeouts come primarily on in-zone swing-and-miss, so its important for the strike-throwing to improve for him to capitalize on his ability to overpower hitters as he continues to advance. The bumps and bruises suffered from catching can sometimes level players for whole seasons, and Davis had a lot of them in 2022. 2023 Updated In-Season Projections He has the strength to do damage the other way, but save for the occasional pitch on the outer edge, hes geared to pull. Isaias Uribe, LHP Pegueros lack of throwing accuracy from shortstop is concerning. by Retrosheet. The depth charts found on the Team Pages are based on projected playing time, NOT the current status of a team's roster. The Pirates have three of those 38 players, with Termarr Johnson ranked 21st, Endy Rodriguez 22nd and Henry Davis 38th. Drafted 91st overall by the Toronto Blue Jays in 2021 out of a Huntington Beach junior college, the 20-year-old southpaw not only finished last season in Double-A, he dominated at all three levels where he saw action. Swaggerty matched the nine home runs he posted in 2019, but this time, he did so against better pitching, in fewer at-bats, and in a much less hitter-friendly park, and he improved on his walk rate by a couple of ticks. Flowers velocity has never really popped in a big way despite some of the late projection because of his conversion. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. He has basically been the same guy since he entered pro ball, sitting 94-95 with ineffectual shape and a pretty good slider. Axiel Plaz, C From the left side of the plate, Rodriguez has an exceptional ability to rip his hands through pitches on the inner edge of the zone. It shows above-average arm-side action on occasion, but hes only throwing it 12% of the time. Oneil Cruz, SS Video Signed: July 2nd. Mason Martin, 1B For instance, hes struggled badly on defense, wracking up 46 errors combined the last two seasons. Castillo is a loose rotator without a lot of bat speed, but he seems to find a way to put the bat on the ball and the power might come if he gets stronger. But he was then shut down and had TJ, which ended his season early enough that he could be back in 2023. document.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded", function () { Currently, Kennedys best attribute is multi-faceted fastball utility. If he does end up having relevant chase issues, he might track like a left-handed hitting Brendan Rodgers, but Johnsons makeup and personality are so universally lauded that its fair to expect him to make relevant adjustments and become a key cog on Pittsburghs next competitive team. Hes now 23 but could still be a fifth outfielder. He has a career .387 OBP but hasnt been able to actualize his plus raw power in games, driving the ball into the ground at a whopping 66% clip in 2021 and a 54% rate in 2022. Many scouts are champing at the bit over Priesters prototypical frame and four- or five-pitch mix, depending on whether you consider his fastballs two distinct pitches. Either way, he played over half the season in the outfield and was roughly average, which is much better than I would have expected after the reporting on him previously called him a positionless defender. Here hes projected as a no. He still has a pretty exciting hit/power combination for a player his age, showing a proclivity for big contact to dead center and the opposite-field gap, the latter in part due to his length, which causes him to be late. He practically straddles the plate and was hit by 20 pitches during an injury-shortened regular season, then was somehow beaned seven more times in just 17 Arizona Fall League games. Its a pretty big lost year of reps for a multi-sport player looking to get traction with the bat in pro ball. We. He throws precise, high-quality strikes with the heater, and the pitch has enough tailing action to have stayed off of A-ball barrels. Short but not small, his lack of length and size is actually an advantage for Johnsons swing, as he can enjoy a bat path geared for power and lift without it being too long. He and Solometo have the same flavor of stuff wrapped in different packages. M.J. Melendezs 2019 and Bo Naylors 2020 are recent examples of otherwise good-hitting catchers who had a terrible offensive season in the mid-minors that was followed by an immediate and significant rebound the following year. Despite all of that, Priester took a hit in a lot of the national prospect outlets, dropping off quite a few Top 100 lists. Hayden Wesneski is a 25-year-old starting pitcher in the Chicago Cubs system. A draft-eligible sophomore in 2022, Harrington is an athletic, pitchability righty with a tailing low-90s fastball and a power-sink changeup in the mid-80s. This time around, the Top 100 has even more Moreno types, prospects who combine . That said, it's getting harder. Cristofer Melendez, RHP Hes on the 40-man roster and will likely get a chance to sink or swim on the big league roster in 2023. Chandler started the 2022 season on the complex, where he showed two-way promise, slashing .231/.444/.654 over 36 plate appearances while annihilating opposing batters, issuing 27 strikeouts and giving up just three hits without allowing a run over 15.1 innings. Dombkowski is a lefty whose high-80s fastball plays up thanks to his low arm slot and excellent command over his above-average secondaries. in the minor league phase of the 2022 Rule 5 Draft. FanGraphs released their top 100 prospect rankings on Wednesday. He ultimately went fourth overall to Pittsburgh, and because hes a relatively advanced hitter with a mature build, theres a good chance the Pirates move Johnson through the minors pretty quickly if he hits the ground running offensively. When Smith-Njigba takes a comfortable, max-effort hack, its obvious that he has big power, and his exit velo data reinforces the visual evaluation. Scouting reports are. Across the 2022 calendar, Davis had nearly as many HBPs as he did extra-base hits, to which the wrist fracture likely contributed. Whether his ability to go get it in center field bounces back is the X-factor that will determine his ability to play a long-term big league role. His fastball velo is up a tick since 2021, now comfortably sitting in the 95-96 mph range and routinely touching 98. Fourth-round high school pitcher Owen Kellington was a participant in the 2021 Draft League and Combine, and looked like an interesting, slow-burning developmental prospect prior to a hamstring injury than ended his 2022 season. If he continues missing bats at High-A in 2023, though, Pittsburgh may be forced to add him. Gorski had a nutty statline at Greensboro and indeed has plus raw power, but its tough to project a real role for a 25-year-old who struck out as much as he did at High- and Double-A. Jimenez has a very good sweeping, upper-70s curveball and creates plus action on a changeup that he sells with fantastic arm speed. Whats more, theres a chance Triolo hits enough to simply be an everyday option at second (or if he turns out to be okay in center). Hes going to be a star if he ends up with even average raw power, and even if he doesnt, were talking about a switch-hitting catcher who can make an impact on both offense and defense. The organization will be thrilled if . Blanco is a gigantic corner outfield/1B prospect who had the most present raw power in the January 2022 international signing class. Before he was drafted he was considered, at least at FanGraphs, a more likely reliever due to the quality of his stuff. A double-plus hit tool leads the way for Termarr Johnson, a 5'7" 175 lb left-handed hitter who calls Jose Ramirez to mind on a quick visual evaluation. March 3, 2023. wNS9+ With @longenhagen Discussing the @fangraphs Pirates Top Prospect List You found it controversial, so we discussed it Subscribe & Listen http://linktr.ee . The pitch has natural tailing action, but Ortiz can also blow it past hitters at the letters when he wants, and his TrackMan data shows hes mixing in four- and two-seamers in the locations where theyre most effective. Even though both Davis and Rodriguez are near-ready catching prospects, they arent redundant, and in fact they complement each other well. Pittsburgh Pirates: Top 10 Players Under Age 26 (as of 4/1/11) 1. He used his upper-90s fastball for in-zone whiffs, relying on his above-average slider as a chase pitch. RT @NorthShoreNine: wNS9+ With @longenhagen Discussing the @fangraphs Pirates Top Prospect List You found it controversial, so we discussed it Subscribe & Listen . His pop times are routinely in the 1.85-1.95 range in part because Endy has a strong arm, but also because hes almost always leaving his crouch before he even receives the pitch on steal attempts, which hastens his exchange. Gonzales has begun to track like Keston Hiura, Carter Kieboom, and Jeter Downs, and his swing shares mechanical similarities with both Hiura and Kieboom. His fastball velocity is down, in the 92-94 mph range, a far cry from Priesters upper-90s peak. He stayed healthy throughout 2022, throwing 70.1 innings, and was more effective out of the bullpen than in his late-season starts. Barco is a low-slot lefty with advanced command and several underlying pitch traits that give clubs hope of more upside even though he looks like a lower-variance backend starter prospect on the surface.
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